April brings a slight inventory decline

Courtesy of CREB


City of Calgary, May 1, 2019 – There have been no significant changes occurring in sales activity, but the number of new listings coming onto the market continues to ease relative to 2018 levels.


The decline in new listings was enough to start chipping away at overall inventory levels, which have eased slightly comparedtolast year.


The slight adjustment in supply levels has helped support further reductions in the months of supply, which was 4.6 months inApril. While this level still represents oversupply in our market, it does reflect improvement from the nearly seven months of supply that we saw at thestart of the year.


“Demand remains relatively weak in the resale market. However, if supply levels continue to adjust, this could help reduce the amount of oversupply and eventually support some price stability,” said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.


As of April, the total residential benchmark price in Calgary was $415,900. This is slightly higher than last month, but still nearly five per cent lower than last year’s levels.


Citywide sales were 1,547 units in April, two per cent higher than last year’s levels. Year-to-date sales remain nearly six per cent lower than last year and are 26 per cent below longer-term averages.


“Sales have been improving mostly in the lower price ranges, causing tighter supply conditions in that segment. This will likely have a different impact on price trends in the lower price ranges depending on location,” said Lurie.


HOUSING MARKET FACTS


Detached


•Detached sales improved by nearly three per cent in April compared to last year, due to gains in homes priced under $500,000.However, with 930 sales, activity still remain 24 per cent below long-term averages. Recent gains were also not high enough to offset pullbacks earlier in the year, causing year-to-date sales to fall by over five per cent.

•Improving sales did not occur across all districts. In April, there was growth in the North East, North West, South and SouthEast districts of the city. Despite some signs of sales improvement, overall sales activity remains well below 10-year averages throughout every region in the city.

•April detached inventories citywide continue to remain just above levels recorded last year. Months of supply remain relatively unchanged at four months.

•The amount of oversupply has varied significantly depending on the area of the city. Months of supply has only risen in the CityCentre, South and West districts of the city.

•Despite some of the adjustments occurring in the detached sector, overall April prices remain lower than last year’s levels across all districts. Year to date, the largest year-over-year declines occurred in in the City Centre, North West and South districts.

Apartment

•Despite the affordability of apartment condominiums, sales activity continues to fall across the city and in most districts. There have been 714 apartment condominium sales so far this year, the lowest level since 2001.

•The decline in new listings has started to outweigh the sales decline, causing inventories to ease. As of April, resale apartment condominium inventories totaled 1,546 units, 16 per cent lower than inventory levels last April.

•The easing inventories have also caused the months of supply to decline to just above six months. While this is still a buyers’ market, this trend could help ease the downward pressure on prices if it continues.

•Apartment condominium prices in April totalled $250,400, comparable to last month, but over two per cent below last year’s levels and nearly 17 per cent below 2014 highs.

Attached


•Attached sales activity improved compared to last year’s levels for the second straight month, almost offsetting the declinesoccurring in the first two months of the year. Year-to-date sales were 1,113 units, nearly one per cent below last year’s levels, and 14 per cent below long-term averages.

•Year-to-date sales have improved in all districts except the City Centre, North West and West.

•Improved sales and easing listings have helped prevent further inventory gains in this sector and overall months of supply have trended down to five months.

•Following several months of prices trending down, semi-detached benchmark prices in April rose over the previous month. However,prices remain over five per cent below last year’s levels at $395,300.

•Row prices were $284,900 in April, over five per cent below last year’s levels.


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